Posté le: 06.12.2018, 03:30:16 Sujet du message: This season has not been a perfect one by a long s
tretch. The Colts have suffered a number of injuries and lost out on games it seems they should have won. They sit at 3-5 Cheap Quenton Nelson Jersey , and through the first half of their season they faced the toughest stretch of their schedule. Despite the humbling start, Colts fans have been eerily confident in the direction of the team. So much so, that they have stood in stark contrast to the other fan bases of the AFC South. Those fan bases have seen their confidence erode from beneath them as their teams disappoint through their performance, due to injury, or in the Texans’ case, show just how close to the edge of the cliff they are operating.Throughout all this, Colts fans have had a relatively flat and confident air about them. Why? Because they entered this season looking for marked improvement. The organization set realistic expectations for their fans and the primary measuring stick for this season’s success was always going to be if they managed to fix some issues that have existed before.That has clearly been the case. The Colts’ offensive line with the additions of Quenton Nelson and Braden Smith has gone from a complete liability to a strength of the offense in a season. The linebacker group looks dramatically better with Darius Leonard and a healthy Anthony Walker. The running backs with the emergence of Marlon Mack and the contributions of Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins look set to play a pivotal role in the offense for years to come. Oh, and the tight ends might be the most effective and well used tight end group in the league, with Eric Ebron leading the way and having a career year. Are there other holes? Definitely. The secondary still needs work, the team needs more wide receivers to aid T.Y. Hilton, and they need more from their defensive line, though that has also seen measurable improvement. More than that, this team hasn’t simply rolled over and been beaten down like they were sometimes in the past. Their worst performance of the season came against the Patriots, but it also featured largely the 4th string defense due to an absurd number of injuries both before and during the game. Because of this, fans have remained confident despite underwhelming results. Now, however, fans have a different reason to be confident. The AFC South has been a bit of a dumpster fire this season. The rest of the AFC hasn’t been all that much better. The playoff race remains absolutely wide open with half the season to go. What’s more, the Colts have a much more favorable stretch in their schedule, and are reaching their healthiest point as a team so far in the season. All this has come to a head to leave Colts fans feeling pretty good as they prepare for the arrival of the Jaguars this Sunday. Make no mistake, this is not a rubber stamp W for the Colts. This Jaguars team has all the elements needed to thump most of the AFC. However, anyone who has ever attempted to bake before knows that just because you have all the ingredients doesn’t mean you can make something incredible.Last season everything worked for them. This season it seems that the coaches forgot to grease the pan, set the oven too hot, and didn’t hear the timer when it went off. It has been a bit of a disaster. However Nate Hairston Jersey , those pieces are still there, and the team has had a bye week to rest. It is completely possible that they will come out of their bye week looking more like we expected them to this offseason.Still, the fact that a team starting so much young talent as well as having so many key contributions from their first and second year players is able to look at the back half of their schedule and see a very realistic playoff berth has buoyed Colts fans’ confidence to the highest point it has been all season. This week’s FanPulse survey shows a 94% confident feeling about the direction the team is going, and a win Sunday would only strengthen that feeling.Elsewhere around the division, fans are not feeling so confident. The Texans have looked like a team that could get hot and make a real run if they can stay healthy, but that hasn’t stopped Texans fans from limited expectations. Just 53% feel good about the team going forward.The Titans got a win this week as well, but given their many issues and some of the games ahead for them, fan expectations remain low at just 45%.The Jaguars have fallen the farthest. Through week 5, Jags fans remained very sure their team could replicate its prior success. Since then, as the team has stumbled, the wheels have fallen off for most fans and they’ve seen their confidence plummet to just 12%. The Colts have a chance to show that they are an improved team and that fans were right to place confidence in their direction. If they can have a strong back half of their season, they might be able to show that the fruits of that progress are ripening earlier than many of us thought they could.If you’d like to participate in Stampede Blue’s FanPulse survey, you can sign up to do so here. With the NFL trade deadline coming up at 4:00 pm EST on October 30th, there will be a lot of rumors. Goodness, there already have been a lot of rumors. However, it may be a lot harder than you think to make a deal.First thing one needs to understand is trades are not made in a vacuum. For example, there’s been a recent uproar from New York Giants fans for the team to trade for Indianapolis Colts back-up QB Jacoby Brissett. In a vacuum, Brissett is worth at most a second or third round pick. However, we don’t live in a vacuum. It would be highly unlikely the Colts would trade Brissett for only a second or third round pick.You must consider other factors in determining a player’s trade value, things like positional scarcity, current contract and other available options at the position. A quality QB is arguably the most difficult position to fill in the NFL, which increases Brissett’s value. If it were for a lesser valued position, like RB Cheap Joe Haeg Jersey , the value would decrease. A team also needs to consider the current contract of the player. If the player is looking for a huge contract extension, it may weaken the team’s bargaining position. If the player has multiple years left on a rookie deal, that may strengthen their position.One of the other considerations is other available options at the position. Most teams will consider what the current and future free agent market will look like as well as the upcoming NFL draft. Again looking at the QB position, the trade market for QBs last season wasn’t particularly great for teams looking to trade away a QB. The 2018 NFL draft had several high quality options and most guessed Kirk Cousins would become an unrestricted free agent. Teams had little to no incentive to trade high draft capital mid-season to get a QB when there were likely to be quite a few high quality options available after the season.Now compare last year to this year and you get a completely different story. The top QBs in free agency are likely to be Tyrod Taylor, Teddy Bridgewater and Nick Foles. It’s unlikely Bridgewater leaves the Saints so the free agent class is underwhelming. The 2019 draft class at QB may be worse. There isn’t a sure-fire top QB prospect who has risen above the rest to this point to be a lock as a top 10 or even top 15 pick. The names we hear most often are Oregon’s Justin Herbert, Missouri’s Drew Lock and NC State’s Ryan Finley but each has significant limitations. Last year, at least Sam Darnold and Josh Rosen were considered top 10 picks, with Josh Allen and Baker Mayfield picking up steam. The lack of obvious top quality options in the 2019 NFL draft increases the value of a player like Brissett. These same reasons are likely why the New England Patriots only got a second round pick for Jimmy Garoppolo last year from the San Francisco 49ers. The market simply didn’t develop. The 49ers had a lot of options if they were willing to wait and Jimmy G was going to be an unrestricted free agent. That left New England without a lot of options. Either let Jimmy G walk and receive a 2019 third round compensatory pick or trade him for a little higher pick in 2018. The Patriots made the right call there.Another aspect to consider when trying to make a trade mid-season is the difficulty in getting a player acclimated to your team in time to make a difference. The Colts know this first hand when the traded for Brissett last year. Unless the systems are similar, it takes time for the player to make an impact. But remember this is not just about a player fitting in a new system but also fitting within the culture of the locker room. A general manager can’t bring in a player that is a perceived trouble maker into the locker room. It’s very important to keep a strong culture, especially with a young team like the Colts. Thankfully, Frank Reich could likely handle any personality that comes in but sometimes the risk is not worth the reward.Arguably the most important thing to consider is the cost evaluation of trading away a player for a draft pick. Is it more valuable to your team to have this player in the locker room as an emergency or is it more valuable to have the extra draft pick? That’s a personal preference of the GM regarding franchise construction. If the team is clearly rebuilding, maybe the GM goes for the draft picks instead of hanging on to the player. Yes, there are some great players that might be rumored to be available. However, there’s a reason they are available and their current team wants to trade them. It may be as simple as a new coaching regime came in and the player just doesn’t fit the new scheme, like what appears to be happening with the Arizona Cardinals. It may be the team has an abundance of talent at a given position so they can afford to make a move. It also may be the player has worn out their welcome and the team no longer wants them in their locker room, like it appears is happening in Pittsburgh. All of these are possibilities as to why a team may be looking to trade a player. All of these things must be considered.Making a mid-season trade is not as simple as ‘I’ll give you this player for that draft pick.’ There’s a lot of variables to consider that go into determining a player’s value in the current market. You have to know the market and what’s available. You have to know how desperate a team may be for a particular player or how likely they are to make a deal. For example, some GMs value draft picks above most everything else, like it appears Chris Ballard does. Some teams value players above draft picks, like the Los Angeles Rams. Needless to say, there are many things to consider when trying to work out a mid-season trade. It’s not as easy as it looks. In fact, mid-season trades are quite hard to do.
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